Atlantic weather system given 30% of storm formation – NHC

28 Jun 2021

Quantum Commodity Intelligence - A low-pressure weather system currently making its way across the Atlantic has been given a 30% chance of intensifying into a storm within the next five days, the US National Hurricane Center said Monday.

The system, currently classified as Invest 95L, is approximately midway between the west coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles chain of islands that make up the eastern Caribbean.

"A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is producing a small cluster of showers and thunderstorms over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Some slow development is possible through the end of the week while this system moves quickly westward to west-northwestward at about 20 mph, likely reaching the Lesser Antilles late Wednesday," the NHC said in bulletin published early Monday.

The NHC put the chances of storm formation in the next 48 hours at 20% and 30% within the next five days.

In May the US government agency, NOAA Climate Prediction Center, forecasted another above-normal Atlantic hurricane season in 2021.

The record 2020 hurricane season had a devastating impact on the oil and gas sector, with storms like Marco, Laura and Sally ripping through the Gulf of Mexico and making landfall along the US Gulf coast, which hosts much of the US oil and gas infrastructure.